Is Mexico in a civil war or is this a terribly
extended “settling of accounts” between cartels? This is a question that a
reader posted after my entry, “Alarms are ringing along the Texas border,” last
Thursday.
There is not an
easy answer to his question.
According to the
Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy:
“War should be understood as an actual, intentional and widespread
armed conflict between political communities… War is a phenomenon which occurs only
between political communities, defined as those entities which either are
states or intend to become states (in order to allow for civil war).”
The definition adds that certain political pressure groups, like terrorist organizations might also be considered “political communities” if they are associations of people with a political purpose and many of them aspire to statehood in certain lands.
In the American Civil War, for example, 11 Southern states declared their secession from the U.S. and fought against the Union. In the Spanish Civil War, the Nationalist forces fought against the Republican government to establish a right-wing dictatorship. More recently, in Guatemala, a group of revolutionaries fought for more than 30 years against right-wing military regimes.
In these three well-known cases, the political reasons that ignited the confrontation were clear. And in all of them, the entities involved had a clear political intent or agenda, an idea of the kind of nation they want to be. They were fighting for ideals.
Scholars have established criteria to define civil war. Among these criteria is the number of dead people, which can be from 100 to 1,000 per year. They also remark the fact that one of the sides must have some kind of popular recognition as a belligerent group, and in some cases they must have the political control of certain areas.
Going back to the original question, we could say that besides the number of dead people and the fact that the drug traffickers have a de facto control of certain areas, none of the other criteria –a political project and the popular recognition– have been met in the case of what is going on in Mexico. So, I do not think that we can say that there is a civil war in Mexico.
However, in the end, this is a rhetorical question. There is in fact a war between the government and the drug cartels, which have left more than 17,042 people dead between 2003 and 2009. It is a war that is displacing people from their cities and towns and it is affecting every one--children, women and the elderly.
It is also a war between cartels to control the market.
I’m not a scholar nor an expert. Most likely, political scientists would have a better response to the reader’s question. Again, I wouldn’t say that Mexico is in a civil war, but that doesn’t mean that the conflict can’t escalate and become something larger.
What would I call it? It’s simply a bloody battle, a terrible and unfortunate war that I’m sure the majority of Mexicans deplore.

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