A few days ago, an aspiring Mexican presidential candidate for the right-wing National Action Party, Josefina Vazquez Mota, visited Chicago as part of a working tour to the United States.
In an interview with local newspaper "Hoy," Vazquez Mota –a congresswoman on administrative leave– said she wants to be “the president of the migrants."
Her statement was not a surprise, much less in a time in which the already ongoing 2012 presidential race occupies most of the analysis and political news in Mexico.
When reading Vazquez Mota’s interview it was unavoidable to think about former Mexican President Vicente Fox, who referred to migrants as “heroes” and promised them to fight for an immigration reform that would give them the possibility of a better life in the U.S. His promises were part of his political campaign to become president.
Fox was perhaps one of the first presidential candidates that openly acknowledged the effort and the economic contribution of migrants to the economy of Mexico. Back then, Mexicans living abroad were not allowed to cast their vote in elections and therefore, Fox was not seeking their vote. What he probably wanted was their influence over their families in Mexico, something that could help him win the presidency in 2000.
For over a decade, migrant remittances to Mexico have been vital to the national economy and have contributed significantly to reduce poverty in large parts of the country. Despite the fall they have had in recent years, remittances remain the second largest source of foreign income for Mexico after the exportation of oil. Last year, remittances amounted to little more than $21 billion.
But that's not all. Since 2005, when constitutional reforms allowed Mexicans living abroad to vote overseas, migrants have become a potential source of votes for any presidential candidate.
The vote abroad is still young and a developing process, which is reflected in the low numbers of voters in the 2006 presidential election. According to estimates by the Federal Electoral Institute, there were 4.2 million potential Mexican voters living abroad.
However, only 56,312 applied for registration in the lists of voters residing abroad. Of those, only 40,876 qualified.
In the end, only 32,632 people living abroad voted in the 2006 presidential election, representing 58 percent of those who applied for registration.
And while the numbers are low, the Federal Electoral Institute expects those numbers to grow from today to Jan. 15, when the period of registration of voters abroad concludes. However, the major constraints to increase the electoral participation of Mexicans abroad are still the inability to issue voter cards on this side of the border and the fact that voting in person (at embassies or consulates) is not authorized.
Still, the aspiring presidential candidates will come to this side of the border to vie for migrants’ votes. They will come with a portfolio full of promises and good intentions -- among them, to fight for an immigration reform and to include them in future political and economic decisions.
But let’s not forget that 2012 will also be a U.S. election year and, as it usually happens in these processes, the immigration topic will be on the table as a controversial and dividing issue among candidates and the American electorate.
In this context it will be interesting to see how Mexican candidates will draft their proposals on immigration and how they are going to deal with the tensions that this particular issue always raises.

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